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Not at all the same scenario. The Ahsoka figures in this example had active content behind them. The first Ahsoka was from Mando, the second from the Ahsoka series...both shows that were airing at the time. And the second Ahsoka has a different costume, which makes it more palatable to people who already bought the first.They did the exact same thing with TV series Ahsoka. Why is it out the realm of possibility that they'd do it with Mace?
First release was "Man-soka" as I've grown to call it. Second release used Dawson's likeness. It's a easy tactic to get people to buy the character twice.
Assuming HT would revisit Mace with a new sculpt (and essentially the same costume) when the first figure hasn't even been waitlisted yet is pretty far-fetched. Especially for anniversary content. Also, believe it or not, this current Mace does use SLJ's likeness. It just isn't very good.
HT doesn't have unlimited manufacturing capacity. It's very doubtful they'd circle back to this while they have other figures they're contractually obligated to deliver.