Tormund came in today.
Box was very nicely packed - not double boxed, but I didn't expect that for free shipping. The art box was bubble wrapped and there were air bags inside keeping it from sliding around. The art box was still factory sealed, and in the original plastic wrap, which was also still factory sealed.
No missing parts, no defects on the figure itself. Looks as good as all of the pictures I have seen. Definitely a fresh figure and nothing shady or second hand.
Small sample size, but based on this, I would say buy with confidence. I will be cancelling Arya with BBTS tonight and ordering through them. She is cheaper there anyway.
Thanks for that report. I have had my eye on Sure Thing for some time but never had any reference. Good to know.