I don't think there's any doubt that HT is producing Watchmen figures, but those of you holding your breath for 3 figures may be disappointed. Unless something reeeeeeally surprising happens with the box office numbers over the next few weeks, I don't think we'll be seeing more than 2.
They made 3 for The Spirit
The production time is like 9 months to a year before they first put up pictures, they would be putting together the figures long before any box office stuff would influence what they make. Plus, box office isn't always a good indication on how well merchandise sells.