So does that imply that as time goes on, any new line is really more and more aimed at new collectors? While no doubt some collectors here are really looking forward to 'another' Aragorn, are there enough and if not, will enough new collectors come along.
Wouldn't it be a combination of both tho, if you have piece(s) with a high ES, and its a character that keeps getting made, then won't oversaturation just happen that much faster? I've not done the numbers, but with just Weta and SS alone, there would have to be over 10,000 Aragorn statues out there, is the market really big enough to consume all that, since lets face it, LOTR is somewhat off its hayday.
On the subject of Basic Collecting 101, while SS may not careless what has previously be done, that alone is a scary thought. If as you say, they have the license and can do what they like, couldn't they just turn around and say, you know, that daddy Rog turned out rather popular, lets do a 'reboot' of that in this new maquette line. We'll change a couple of small things, maybe work the whip a bit different, so it doesn't droop over time, but other then that, lets remake basically the same thing.
I would hope that no collector would ever really want that and no company would in fact ever do that. Otherwise we are just paying large amounts of money for something that's said to be 'limited' and collectible, where in the end, all it takes is some time and it can just all be done again
Yes, it is a big catch 22 and as I've pointed out, I think it will rely on a lot of new collectors buying in for the line to really get going and for those 'missed' characters to show up. Thing is, will there be enough.
On the other hand, what if Faramir had been made first, instead of Aragorn. Rather then trying to get new ppl in, don't you think SS would have an already significant base of LOTR fans, many with large collections, that have been screaming out for a 1/6th all polystone statue of Faramir that would fit in perfectly with what they already got?
Rhetorical, yes, but I'm going to answer anyway and reference a couple of your other points.
I'm not so sure anyone is even questioning the need for Arwen or Boromir in this new maquette line. I know I'm not. As you have said, all the concept previews we have seen so far, do show the characters in basically poses and looks that haven't really been done before. Which yes, that's great, a 'remake' or copy of an existing statue must be avoided at all costs and SS have done just that, tho they may have gone a little too far with Gandalf
But the thing with Arwen and Boromir is that, we only have one statue version of both of those at this time and that includes both old SSW and any new SS offerings. The same can't be said about Aragorn.
So no, of course we wouldn't be having this conversation if Weta had got the 1/6th statue license back, because if they had, I would bet they would have started with characters like riding outfit Arwen or Gondorian Boromir or Faramir or dare I say it a new shire Pippin sculpt and any thoughts of another Aragorn would have been way down on the list.
Star Wars is an interesting comparison, and the best example I can think of is the MR lightsabers.
Now yes I know there is a fair bit of difference between prop replicas and character statues, but even so, consider it for a moment.
MR ended up making like 3 or 4 Luke lightsabers, but when your talking a prop replica, it should only take one, either its a limited collectible replica or its not. How can you come back and make it again. Of course in the end they couldn't, since they closed up shop.
Now that's an extreme, but if one ends up with just so many Aragorn statues, won't there be a breaking point?
Now I'm not saying this is it, but won't the time come that one more Aragorn is just one too many, unless of course things do stop at some point or enough new collectors keep buying in.
PS, I hope all that made sense, I don't have time to go back and proof read.