Captain Marvel - March 8, 2019

[jimcap]

Must mean this film is finally the failure some people hoped for!



Sent from the inside of a giant slug in outer space.....

Oh. noboby said it's failing. Just separating fact from hype, wasn't meant as a slam on the movie.

 

[e30ernest]

Don’t all MCU movies drop that much 2nd weekend in China?

IW had a 72% drop.

BP 82.5% drop.

Spiderman Homecoming 78.4% drop.

I mean I can keep going if you like lol

Yeah pretty much. That's why I said it was within projections. The video I posted above even says pretty much the same regarding drop offs (you have to compare between similar films).

 

[jimcap]

I mean I can keep going if you like lol

And how you do go on........

BP and IW both had huge openings and their Domestic: B.O.s were in the 700m range. I don’t see CM doing close to that Domestically. So it will rely more on the foreign numbers to make it into the billion dollar club. It may come in a little short. Time will tell.

 

[e30ernest]

And how you do go on........

BP and IW both had huge openings and their Domestic: B.O.s were in the 700m range. I don’t see CM doing close to that Domestically. So it will rely more on the foreign numbers to make it into the billion dollar club. It may come in a little short. Time will tell.

I honestly think 1B is a long shot. I'm sticking to the original estimate of 850-900M. That seems more reasonable for a debut solo film (BP was not a debut film).

 

[jimcap]

I honestly think 1B is a long shot. I'm sticking to the original estimate of 850-900M. That seems more reasonable for a debut solo film (BP was not a debut film).

You and I agree, around 900m was my guess,edging out WW world wide, But Dianna just might hold on to the domestic
crown.

 

[Neal136]

When I was looking at the ridiculous amount of movies Disney has coming out this year, I thought there was a chance that they'd score at least FIVE $1 billion films, which is just crazy to think about. Captain Marvel was never one of the ones I thought would reach that number. I now think it will, which is pretty crazy in its own right.

 

[Sassafras]

You and I agree, around 900m was my guess. just edging out WW.

Does it even matter? End Game was picture locked - they are not doing any more edits probably. If EG Reddit leaks are to be believed, then a cut of the movie is already being shown for countries that demand approval before theater release (China and probably others). However CM does won't affect EG - and Joe Russo had talked about the "purity" of the IW story process.

I mean I tend to view any movie re the long term - e.g. does it make the shelf, or not. In theory I guess a 1.1 billion box office might fast track a second CM, but right now it's not even on the planned slate (I'm excited if they follow through w. the Eternals). Read where Marvel/Feige kinda want to kick back a bit and plan.

https://www.cinemablend.com/new/upcoming-marvel-movies-release-dates-for-phase-3-and-4-67944.html

 

[e30ernest]

Does it even matter? End Game was picture locked - they are not doing any more edits probably. If EG Reddit leaks are to be believed, then a cut of the movie is already being shown for countries that demand approval before theater release (China and probably others). However CM does won't affect EG - and Joe Russo had talked about the "purity" of the IW story process.

I mean I tend to view any movie re the long term - e.g. does it make the shelf, or not. In theory I guess a 1.1 billion box office might fast track a second CM, but right now it's not even on the planned slate (I'm excited if they follow through w. the Eternals). Read where Marvel/Feige kinda want to kick back a bit and plan.

https://www.cinemablend.com/new/upcoming-marvel-movies-release-dates-for-phase-3-and-4-67944.html

Speaking of Endgame, it's pretty amazing to think that CM was filmed after Endgame. The Marvel machine in high-gear.

 

[e30ernest]

You and I agree, around 900m was my guess,edging out WW world wide, But Dianna just might hold on to the domestic
crown.

Still curious to see where it'll end up. I'm rooting for this film (in the same way I was rooting for Alita). I wanted to see them go on the upper end of estimates. I'm still bummed out on how Alita's box office returns are going.

 

[jimcap]

Does it even matter? End Game was picture locked - they are not doing any more edits probably. If EG Reddit leaks are to be believed, then a cut of the movie is already being shown for countries that demand approval before theater release (China and probably others). However CM does won't affect EG - and Joe Russo had talked about the "purity" of the IW story process.

I mean I tend to view any movie re the long term - e.g. does it make the shelf, or not. In theory I guess a 1.1 billion box office might fast track a second CM, but right now it's not even on the planned slate (I'm excited if they follow through w. the Eternals). Read where Marvel/Feige kinda want to kick back a bit and plan.

https://www.cinemablend.com/new/upcoming-marvel-movies-release-dates-for-phase-3-and-4-67944.html

Please give the Eternals to the Russo's.

 

[Neal136]

Here's some more "movie math":

Yup, 'Captain Marvel' Is Definitely Going To Top $1 Billion Worldwide

 

[Sassafras]

Please give the Eternals to the Russo's.

They said they'd come back for Secret Wars. Seem to have moved on in their minds...still, money could talk a lot.

https://www.syfy.com/syfywire/russo-brothers-say-theyd-make-another-marvel-movie-but-itd-have-to-be-secret-wars

IMO Disney/Marvel isn't that easy to work for. On the one hand Feige seems to encourage freshness and independence; on the other there's the Disney machine and production schedule.

Also, of course, the Russos IMO do deserve a break.

There's gotta be an up coming director tho out there who'd totally blow our minds, given the chance! The Russos were a surprise with TWS.

 

[Sassafras]

Here's some more "movie math":

Yup, 'Captain Marvel' Is Definitely Going To Top $1 Billion Worldwide

This kind of thing mildly annoys me:

We can all acknowledge that the movie represents yet more proof that big-scale female-fronted superhero movies, as long as they are in a popular brand, can soar just as high as the male-driven variety. But the most important win for Captain Marvel is what it represents for the MCU.

They opened a new franchise, featuring a comparatively cult-level hero with complicated superpowers and no prior MCU introduction, with a solo flick that's going to be one of their biggest movies ever. It certainly didn't perform like Ant-Man or even Doctor Strange, and (inflation aside) it's going to tower over Captain America: The Winter Solder, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 and Thor: Ragnarok.

That may be true, in theory. What mildly annoys me tho is media completely ignoring - and to a degree this was true for BP - the boost from End Game. IMO it's disingenuous to ignore the factor of "u gotta see this because it ties to X". Plenty of online comments along that line tho (whether ultimately u needed to see CM or not. Some folks flat out said they were at CM for a credit scene).

Disney certainly was aware of the power of the EG boost. Far as I know the other movies mentioned were as "stand alone" as u can be in an inter-connected universe. So I think their BO is actually more accurate. Tho BO never accounts for profitable disk sales afterward, either.

 

[Wor-Gar]

That may be true, in theory. What mildly annoys me tho is media completely ignoring - and to a degree this was true for BP - the boost from End Game. IMO it's disingenuous to ignore the factor of "u gotta see this because it ties to X". Plenty of online comments along that line tho (whether ultimately u needed to see CM or not. Some folks flat out said they were at CM for a credit scene).

You also have to consider that over the last 10 years the MCU has generated a huge audience. Some of those kids were 5-10 when this all started and now they are 15-20 with much more expendable cash to see these things 2-4 in the theater.

 

[jimcap]

Here's some more "movie math":

Yup, 'Captain Marvel' Is Definitely Going To Top $1 Billion Worldwide

I find Scott Mendelson a bit of a tool. even his byline picture is smug.

 

[a-dev]

He must be taking the piss out of himself with that pic. He must be.

 

[Sassafras]

I find Scott Mendelson a bit of a tool. even his byline picture is smug.

He's there to show us the way!

 

[SilverStar17]

You and I agree, around 900m was my guess,edging out WW world wide, But Dianna just might hold on to the domestic
crown.

 

[jimcap]

He's there to show us the way!

View attachment 448063

I picture him on a playground bench with a camera.

 

[Sassafras]

I picture him on a playground bench with a camera.