How do you figure 5 to 10 years?
SSC's Bespin Luke was 2007 and HT's is 2011. (Announcements)
SSC's ANH Vader was 2008. By the amount of time passed we could see an ANH themed Darth Vader from Hot Toys announced sometime next year and have them sync up.
Given that it seems like the two names being thrown around are Anakin Skywalker (interview) and Chewbacca (poll), I would say we won't see a Vader in hand until late 2013 but a 5-10 year prediction is a little foolish IMHO.
Lets look at *** this way, HT is planning to do 1 figure for SW a year, possibly two. Lets go with the low estimate.
2012 : Bespin luke
WE know that Chewbacca is going to come. they laid the groundwork with the Planet of the apes figures.
so lets say 2013 for chewbacca
Hot toys LOVES armored figures, as we've seen with Iron man. Sideshow has been reluctant to do droids, and The Droids are Iconic.
So lets say 2014 for C3p0, and possiby R2-d2 as well. if not, R2 goes over into 2015
The Asian market seems to LOVE Hayden as Anakin.
ROTS ankain/Vaderkin in 2016
BUT, lets not forget that Sideshow releases a new Vader, lets say in 2014.
Given the 3 year window for bespin Luke, lets say that they Decide to capitalize on the release of that ROTJ/ESB vader, and Do a Jedi luke in 2014, pushing all these ahead a year.
so now we're at 2017, 5 years down the line, a WE might see a HT vader. it depends on what direction their marketing campaign goes.
Yes, vader is Iconic, but there is no promise Hot toys will EVER do one.
They probably will.
as for competition from medicom as an analogy with competition from hot toys, let me shoot holes in that theory.
Sideshow has NO control over what Medicom makes. their only option is to go ahead and sell them as well, and hope to make SOME money off them.
You can bet that if sideshow had ANY say over what figures medicom was going to make, they would exercise that control. It's simply good business.
The nature of the license with hot toys allows sideshow a degree of control over what Hot toys makes. and you can be damn sure they're going to use that say.
Lastly, I'm saying BETWEEN 5 to 10 years. could be 5, could be 7, but i don't see it being Any MORE than 10. I'd be shocked if it was 10.
My money is 2015 for an announcement, 2016-17 for a release